Round 3

[charity]

Looks like three things are happening for each tribe....

Danny Butler has led a revolt against BDC for Lakota. I could see him aligning with Josh/Jake/Vee/Mojo with Aubra as someone they try to use as a tag along member (assuming she's smart enough to jump ship). There is some tension between some individuals in this group (such as Josh and Mojo) but things have definitely shifted since round 1.

Literally everyone (especially Knight/Ricky) are leading a crusade against Rachel/Alonzo, under the pretense that they're making too many alliances (which they are). I see Alonzo being in more trouble than Rachel, but Rachel is the one in the group who has the idol. She has literally told nobody, not even Alonzo, which will make for interesting TV. I think again, this is a group that has potential to implode.

Orange is boring me to death... TSL is gone for 5 days but is still in the best position on the tribe. This must mean everyone is doing a really bad job at playing the social game. Jordan has been fun but I'm waiting for him to implode. Blake is a weird enigma but at least he's trying. Danny G found both the idol and secret advantage. I love Danny personally, but the fact that Jordan already knows about these powers is a bad side. I think it's going to flop. The others are just YAWN.

[dankilbythegreat]

I agree with what Charity is saying. Blue and Pink are easily the fun tribes here: I am super curious to see what happens with Joshua/Jake after the presumed BDC vote? Do they continue to be roped in, or are they just being used? I love the play from Danny and Aubra one this tribe. Very fascinating! And Mojo having an idol is MY DREAM COME TRUE. I hope he uses it in a fun way. I know he has it in him.

We've seen STEP ONE of Danny's plan here which is discredit and shame BDC by throwing him under the bus. From all accounts, it looks like it has worked. AUbra mentions distrusting him, and that should be the final wheel needed to make BDC in danger...but we still have over 24 hours here. We COULD see more intrigue come on this vote, and that is what im excited for. Will it expose danny? What group will form as dominant out of this? Will they be in just as much danger? This is very fascinating to me - Will anyone tell BDC, and is he saveable? I feel like this COULD flip again and that is really fun. Danny could get himself in danger if he doesnt thread the needle *just* right. I assume Joshua or Jake is the decoy which gives danny a lot more wiggle room, though. So stunned with how good Danny is.

Rachel with an idol too? ugh. I love the idol choices the survivor gods gave us in mojo/rachel? They are uncharacteristic idol finders, and will probably be c rafty and aggressive enough players to use them in fascinating ways. Hope that happens!!

And yea orange is dreadful. TSL literally *is not here* and is more entertaining, crucial and important member of the tribe than everyone except Jordan. She CAN'T EVEN look at her phone. Like she is GONE and still better than the rest. She's a better player completely MIA than most people are there. But...the real dark mark here is that this tribe is just completely dismantled by pregame associations. Danny Gluck is an entertainment whirlpool. He has told people about his advantages (which I think is a big no-no here), and is enabling far better players than himself to be in better positions than he is when they SHOULD be weak. Taylors strength and her ability to have an empire despite being not here is built on the back of the hard work danny gluck is doing for her. It's MIND NUMBING. He isn't playing his own game he's trying to make the other names he recognize fit in okay so that he can sheep them. PATHETIC. I love paige but IS SHE EVEN IN THIS GAME LOL

[devonsampson]

People like Ricky who are generally in good positions on Pink are surprisingly paranoid about their standing in the game. I think we could see a solid group emerge from this tribe...if they get the chance to go to tribal council again before swap/merge. If they go to TC again and we get a standard Alonzo boot or whatever, I think the core alliance in that tribe could be solid throughout the game - but if they don't go to TC again before swap//merge, I could see almost everyone on that tribe dispersing and finding new allegiances.

Orange...is a tribe in this game.

On Blue, Danny Butler is emerging as the star of the season. His last two confessionals, with Charity on call, were two of the better confessionals I've ever seen in an ORG. Yeah he's schemy, creative, and likes to lie, but I think one of the best things he brings to a game is just how damn dang good of a narrator he is. As far as the strategic merit of his moves this round, I echo Kilby's praise.

I'm biased as hell, but I really think Nolan is in one of the most interesting positions in the game. His confessionals so far show that he's approaching this game in a smart way, and has a good sense of the tribe's pulse...except for the fact that they're going to blindside his dick off this round by voting out BDC. I feel bad for Nolan since he's had poor luck in the games that he's played and he's about to encounter a big setback early on in this one. But it should be noted that Nolan's position after this vote can still be a winning position. Having your castmates blindside you by voting out your sketchy ally was a crucial part of the Dan Gheesling/Devon Sampson winner's journey, among others, so it's not a total death sentence for Nolan. It just depends on how you play it. And I think Nolan will be able to recover - even the people that are going to be blindsiding him have pretty much all said in their confessionals that they like Nolan, and I think Nolan is smart enough to play it cool and not lash out at people for keeping him in the dark. Nolan will definitely be the player to watch in Round 4, if and when BDC is voted out this round.